Saturday, January 27, 2007

Giuliani in New Hampshire

Rudy Giuliani has been campaigning today in Manchester, New Hampshire and will be speaking at the State GOP Convention.

Last night he spoke at a function with more than 400 people in attendance. Apparently he frequently mentioned the 9/11 attacks and the work achieved after the disaster. He was introduced as "America's Mayor".

In his speech he said that the war in Iraq was very important, but the "..war on terror is much broader than the war in Iraq."

Giuliani hasn't declared yet that he will seek the nomination. But given he is braving the cold in New Hampshire, he leads in the polls and he has a raft of fundraising activities planned in the coming weeks, we think the exploratory committee will shift fairly soon to a declared campaign.

Giuliani Leads Again in New Poll

Rudy Giuliani is the leading Republican candidate for the Presidential nomination according to a new poll released today by CNN.

Giuliani has secured 32% of the support, followed by John McCain who was preferred by 26% of respondents.

They were then followed by the undeclared Newt Gingrich on 9%, and Mitt Romney on 7%.

The poll took place between 19 and 21 January.

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Giuliani on State of the Union

Rudy Giuliani has backed the State of the Union speech by President Bush. Appearing this morning on NBC Today, Giuliani said that while Iraq was a very important issue, the President was trying to remind America that there are other issues of concern, there is a whole domestic agenda as well.

Giuliani said that we cant afford to ignore other issues like health, education and energy.

In regard to the Iraq strategy, he said that there has to be a heavy emphasis on measuring results. Giuliani also said that success in Iraq means a victory against terrorists and a safer world, and President Bush should be given the support by Congress and America in his new escalation plan.

Asked how he could get elected as nominee when he is considered liberal, Giuliani said that he could provide hope for the future, give better leadership, and would be able to handle the country in a time of crisis.

Giuliani will announce he said when the questions of his exploratory committee are answered.

Sunday, January 21, 2007

POST/ABC Poll - Giuliani Leads

In the latest Washington Post and ABC poll, Rudy Giuliani is in the lead, preferred candidate for the Republican nomination by 34% of those surveyed.

He was followed by John McCain on 27%, with Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich on 9% each.

The poll was conducted last week and has a margin of error of 4%.

This is good news for the Giuliani camp, after a shaky start to the year with their campaign strategy being leaked to the media.

However, this is only the beginning. Being in front usually means you are the first to be attacked. Giuliani will be subjected to some scrutiny in coming weeks regarding his business affairs, probably followed closely by a whisper campaign on his previous marriages.

Saturday, January 13, 2007

Giuliani Backs Bush Troop Plan

Rudy Giuliani has backed the 21,500 increased troops being sent to Iraq, as proposed by President Bush.

Appearing on Hannity & Colmes, Giuliani said that he believed that President Bush did the right thing in announcing a new strategy and an increase in troops.

Giuliani was adamant that America had to succeed in Iraq and said that "If we don't succeed in Iraq, we are going to face much more difficulties, tremendous problems."

Giuliani's position on the Bush announcement is in line with the two other leading Presidential hopefuls, John McCain and Mitt Romney. However another hopeful Senator Brownback who is currently in Iraq has attacked the plan, as has possible candidate Chuck Hagel who linked the Bush decision on Iraq to the failures of strategy in Vietnam.

Thursday, January 11, 2007

No Comment from Giuliani on troop surge

The New York Post has reported that Rudy Giuliani isn't yet commenting on the troop surge proposal by President Bush. He is not alone. Apparently Romney, Brownback, Gingrich and Huckabee wouldn't comment either. John McCain appears to be the only one at this stage who is fully behind the President's decision, a move he himself describes as risky.

The latest issue of Time Magazine has created a racing guide, with Rudy Giuliani appearing to have over $600,000 in his campaign account. We would expect that to rise quite sharply in the coming weeks. Surprisingly, the report notes that Giuliani has only been to Iowa and New Hampshire twice each, a lot less than a combined total of 25 visits by Mitt Romney.

Saturday, January 6, 2007

Rudy Giuliani in 08?

Rudy Giuliani, whose reputation amongst all Americans was enhanced by the 9/11 event, is considered the leading candidate for the GOP with John McCain.

However Giuliani is a moderate in the GOP, being pro-choice, favoring same sex marriage and is an advocate for gun control.

Yet he has a large popularity in the community, and is often considered by many commentators as one of the best chances for the GOP to retain the White House. In addition, being from New York, Giuliani's popularity would be a great asset in capturing that State's 31 electoral votes.

That is of course if New York's other favorite representative, Hillary Clinton doesn't secure the Democratic nomination. But like Clinton, Giuliani has a great capacity for fundraising, and would lead a very cashed up party to the 08 election.

But Giuliani does have some problems. He has been married 3 times, a fact that will surely be highlighted by his opponents, and certainly by the press. There is also little doubt that his previous health scare will feature in negative campaigns, if only at the whisper level.

In the last few days, the New York Daily News reported on a 140 page leaked report from the Giuliani campaign which detailed the strategy for the coming months. The Giuliani camp are suggesting that the report was stolen, by another candidate's team, although which one has yet to be reported. The Daily News however are reporting that it was from someone within the Giuliani camp sympathetic to another candidate.

Regardless, the report has brought attention to all the matters that Giuliani was seeking to avoid. It highlighted the anti-spin needed to deal with the issues of his former relationships, as well as his positions on social issues to help secure at least some of the right of the Republicans.

What effect this will have in the longer term remains to be seen, but at the very least it puts the issues out into the open once and for all, rather than being eked out by opponents during the primaries.